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System 2 - Unbeatable System

The Martingale is the most popular betting system in the world. It is also called the “doubling-up system” and can be applied to any even money bet. When playing a casino game, the amount of the first bet is simply doubled after each successive loss, until one wins. After each win, the bet is reduced to its initial value and remains there until the next loss. When one wins, one wins one unit. For example, an 11-step martingale would be : 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128, 256, 512, 1024 = 2047 units. That is a large amount to risk simply to win one unit ! If you use this strategy for a casino game such as roulette, craps or at sports betting, the danger is that eventually a long string of losses will keep increasing the amount of your bet until the table limit or the betting limit is reached. Even with a low winning percentage of 30% and a long losing streak of 10-15 in a row, you’ll still be a winner! That is why I call it “the unbeatable sports betting system”. We will use a modified martingale. We will start by betting the amount to win our target. We will be doing this until a win. If we win our first bet, we start over again. If we don’t win our first bet, we will bet the sum of the first 3 bets. So a win will erase 3 loses. Every time we lose, we keep betting for the same target. Only when we win, we will bet the sum of the first 3 bets (remaining bets). With this system, when we lose, we go one step backwards, and when we win we go 3 steps ahead. Bankroll: I can’t tell you exactly what bankroll you need because the odds are changing everyday. But I think that a bankroll of 200 units would be reasonable. The fact is, since three years, I never had to use a bankroll of 200 units. The bet size will be calculated with the odds offer by the bookmakers. The formula is: B = T / (IT-1) B = Amount to bet T= Target (amount you want to win) IT= International odds Let’s say you want to bet $50 at 2.20. $50 / (2.20-1) = $50 / 1.20 = $41.66 L-L-L-W-L-L-W-W Here’s how it works: You need to bet $41.66 to win $50. $41.66 X 2.20 = $91.66 – $41.66 = $50 Let’s see what happen with a 37.5% winning rate and a target of $50. Day 1 Write down your target of $50 you want to make. You bet $54.95 to win $50 The odds are 1.91 You lose. Write down the $54.95 bet next to the $50 you had written down. It should look like this. $50 + $54.95 Day 2 The odds are 2.15 When you lose, your target still the same. So, here it’s $50 again. Your next bet is TARGET / (2.15 – 1). So it’s $50 / 1.15 = $43.48 You should bet $43.48 You lose. Write down the $43.48 bet next to the previous two bets. Now it looks like this. $50 + $54.95 + $43.48 Day 3 The odds are 1.83 You lose. Write down the $60.24 bet next to the previous three bets. Now it looks like this. $50 + $54.95 + $43.48 + $60.24 Our target is the same until a win. Your next bet is TARGET / (1.83 – 1). So it’s $50.00 / 0.83 = $60.24 You should bet $60.24 Day 4 The odds are 2.10 Your next bet is TARGET / (2.10 – 1). So it’s $50.00 / 1.10 = $45.45 You should bet $45.45 You win. Cross out the first target you have written down. You do this (cross out the target) only after a win. That leaves you with the $54.95 bet, the $43.48 bet and the $60.24 bet. Now it looks like this. $50 + $54.95 + $43.48 + $60.24 Day 5 The odds are 1.99 After the first win, the new target is the sum of the first three numbers we have written down. In our case we have $54.95, $43.48 and $60.24. So, our next target is $158.67. The next bet is TARGET / (1.99 – 1). So in our case it’s $158.67 / 0.99 = $160.27 Your next bet should be $160.27 You lose. Write down this bet next to the previous three bets. It looks like this. $54.95 + $43.48 + $60.24 + $160.27 Day 6 The odds are 1.75 Your next bet is the TARGET / (1.75 – 1). So it’s $158.67 / 0.75 = $211.56 Your bet should be $211.56 You lose. Write down this bet next to the previous four bets. $54.95 + $43.48 + $60.24 + $160.27 + $211.56 Day 7 The odds are 2.45 Your next bet is the TARGET / (2.45 – 1). So it’s $158.67 / 1.45 = $109.43. Your bet should be $109.43. You win. Cross out the first three bets (OUR TARGET). That leaves us with… $54.95 + $43.48 + $60.24 + $160.27 + $211.56 Day 8 The odds are 1.90 You win. The session is over. You have recovered from all your loses and made a $50 profit. Your next target the sum of the two remaining bets / (1.90 – 1). Since we don’t have 3 numbers written down, we bet on only the sum of the two remaining bets. So it’s $371.83 / 0.90 = $413.14 You should bet $413.14 You won 3 bets and lost 5 bets. Winning rate: 37.5% As you can see, every win takes us 3 steps ahead towards our goal of winning the session and every loss is only 1 step backwards. The session ends when there are no more numbers written down, when they are all crossed out. The rule is very simple. After we had the first win, we write down the bet we lose next to all the numbers we have written and we always bet on the sum of the three numbers after our first win. We’re still betting the same target until a win.

Betting Strategy No. 1

The most popular kind of bet is without a doubt, flat betting. Every Saturday night or every Monday night, an astronomic number of people place a bet on their favorite team. Soccer, Hockey, Football, on any sports. They just go for a 10$ bet or higher if they can afford to do it. They watch the game with some friends and they have a lot of fun. Sometime they win and sometime they lose. Over a year, they win half of their bets. Of course, they can make some little money over this period but not a lot of money. Like almost everybody they think that it is impossible to make a living at sports gambling especially using flat betting. Well, many people believe professional sports gamblers win almost all of their bets or at least 80% of their bets to make good money. It's understandable that people think that, but it's absolutely not true. The fact is, the difference between the percentage of bets won by professional sports gamblers and the percentage of bets won by chronic losers is relatively very small. We'll ignore money line bets here for the sake of clarity, and use only those bets wherein the player risks 107 to win 100. We’ll use point spreads and over/under bets. Against this type of bet, anyone at all can expect to win 50 percent. After all, the only thing required is to flip a coin and pick a side. The bookmakers' profit comes from the difference between what a bettor must risk and what a bettor expects to win. Every time a player wins, the bookmaker withholds slightly more than 6.5 percent of the winnings ($7 for every $100 risked). Consequently, a bettor winning only half his bets will ultimately go broke. Professional sports gamblers, by comparison, rarely sustain a long term winning percentage higher than 57 or 58 percent, and it's often as low as 54 or 56 percent. People find that hard to believe, and they understandably get even more skeptical when told that, for a genuine professional sports gambler, a long term winning expectation of 60% or more is actually too high and a winning rate of 65% mathematically almost impossible to reach. I know that it sounds crazy at first, but as crazy as it may seem there is a simple explanation: If a bettor has five bets on a given day, risking $107 to win $100 on each bet, and wins three of them, that's a great winning ratio of 60% and a net profit for the day of 86 dollars. (The bettor wins $300 and loses $214) If another bettor has fourteen bets on that same day, risking $107 to win $100 on each one, and wins eight of them, that's a much poorer winning percentage of only 57%, but almost twice as much profit for the day of $158 (The bettor wins $800 and loses $642). The second bettor was not necessarily less skilled at picking winners than the first bettor. The second bettor may simply have chosen to apply all his advantages, including those which had less than a 60% chance of winning in the first place. If the ultimate goal is to make money, it is obvious which of those two bettors was more successful. The real goal is, of course, to make money. The measure of success of a sports handicapper is not his percentage of winning bets, but the amount of profit he made over any given period of time. Although there are, indeed, propositions that offer more than a 60% expectation of winning, such propositions are relatively few and far between, and are only a very small part of the overall picture. With the break-even point at about 51.8%, genuine professional sports gamblers know there is no tenable excuse to pass up propositions offering expectations of higher than, say, 55 percent. A small advantage applied over and over is awesomely effective. Mathematicians will confirm that a profit is more assured from a group of 200 bets with a 55% expectation-per-bet than from a group of 50 bets with a 60% expectation-per-bet. In other words, the more bets placed, the more predictable the outcome. This is a fact of life of which pro sports gamblers must be familiar. It's a basic principle of math: the more bets you are able to place, the more likely it is that your winning percentage will be close to your expectations. A pro sports gambler must be more concerned with profit than with establishing a great winning percentage, and those two conditions are not always compatible. A real pro applies all his advantages as often as possible, not only the best of his advantages when they occasionally arise. The accompanying illustration (below) shows the results of different winning percentages over different numbers of bets. Standard vigorish charges of 4.55 percent are figured into the numbers. (The bookies' net commission is 4.55 percent of all risked funds. Notice in the illustration that winning 55% of 250 bets is more profitable than winning 65% of only 50 bets, - and remember that a profit is more assured - that is, more dependable - because of the higher number of trials. Now, let’s take a look at some numbers. The regular Joe will place a bet one bet a week on his favorite team. The odds are at 1.93. This is of course against the spreads or for the total over/under. Over a year, if he wins 55% of his bets, that would be 29 bets. If he bets $100 a game, he would end up the year with a clear profit of $397. 29 X 1.93 X $100 = $5597 - $5200 = $397 On the other hand, the pro sports gambler will bet as much as 20 games everyday. He will bet $100 a game. Let’s take a look at the numbers if he has a winning rate of only 53%. 20 games X 365 days = 7300 bets 53% of 7300 bets = 3869 wins 3869 wins at odds 1.93 at $100 = $746,717 $746717 – total wagered = $746,717 - $730,000 = $16,717 NET PROFIT = $16,717 After a couple of years, pro sports gamblers will bet over $5000 to $10,000 on each game. After a couple of years, a $1000 bettor will pocket over $167,000 a year in net profit. Pro sports gamblers tend to have a lot of bets compared to non- professionals. Note that winning 55% of 500 bets is actually more profitable than winning 65% of only 50 bets. More importantly, a bettor is more assured of achieving his expected win percentage over a larger total number of bets, and with more bets and smaller bet sizes, the 'ride' is much smoother, less risky, and more predictable. Generally speaking, non-professional sports gamblers go wrong by risking too much of their bankroll on individual bets. They don't spread their risk over enough bets. Professionals use smaller bet sizes in proportion to their bankroll over larger numbers of bets. As a matter of fact, one good way to spot a non-pro is that he invariably has less than a half-dozen bets per week, and he risks more than 20 percent of his bankroll on each bet. Ideally, you must place 8-10 bets a day, and not risk more than 2.5% of the “first block bankroll” per bet, in order not to exceed 25% of the net running total and to obtain optimal results.

Current Stake Return Free Bet Offers

There are 100's of free bet offers out there ranging from £10 to over £100. Some of the current offers available from popular sites that i recommend are listed below. Betfair Betdaq Eurobet Expekt Interwetten Betboo Bet24 BetUK Bet-at-home Betshop Betsson Gamebookers GoldVictory Unibet Betgun Winunited Partybets Jaxx Bet1128 3BWin Betchance Winamax Canbet Iasbet All of these offers are stake returned (the free bonus stake is returned with winnings. SR) giving you a great opportunity to get your profits off to a great start.

Matched Betting Spreadsheets

To assist you on your matched betting profit adventure it is recommended to record your results in a spreadsheet. It is helpful to keep track of all transactions and record amounts of profit. A great spreadsheet I have found is Ultimatcher V2.0 http://www.4shared.com/file/76863043/b42cf2cb/UltimatcherV2.html Excellent Work The_Goon Others are also available or even create your own. The original matcher-http://www.apqs69.dsl.pipex.com/matcher.xls Tomstickland's Matcher- http://www.tomstickland.co.uk/mse/matcher_3f.xls Matcher lite-http://www.tomstickland.co.uk/mse/matcher_3_lite.xls Ffeindadifyr Matcher-http://www.avvataber.f2s.com/matcher_archiver.xls Betdirect or similar offers- http://www.avvataber.f2s.com/Ffeinda...ct_Matcher.xls bpyoung Multiback-http://www.money-for-old-rope.co.uk/multiback.xls Matcher-http://www.money-for-old-rope.co.uk/bazzz2.xls Always on top, little app calculator http://www.mediafire.com/?1xrpdxmmmdm A pop-up spreadsheet/calculator http://www.bakersrealm.co.uk/matcher.zip

Bet365 4/1 winner free bet offer

This great offer can normally net you £20 -£30 most Saturdays. Races also available on sundays although less. This is an excellent offer from Bet365 but must be approached cautiously. Make sure you've read plenty and fully understand what is going before you place your first bet. Dry runs and small stakes (you don't have to bet the full 50!) to start are highly recommended. Betting on horses can be fast so make sure youve got everything setup before you get going. The terms and conditions for this offer are as follows on the B365 website. Offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each live Channel 4 race following the final declarations (where more than 1 selection in the same race is placed on the same bet slip, the first selection is deemed to be the one which is highest on the bet slip). Note - bets placed at Tote odds and 'Not to win' bets are not applicable for this offer. The 4/1 limit refers to the adjusted odds after any dead-heat, Rule 4 or unnamed joint/co-favourite. If your free bet is an each-way selection that is placed, and the return on the bet is less than the total stake, we will refund the difference between your return and the total stake. If your return is greater than the total stake then no refund will be given. Maximum free bets per customer £50 per race. Free bet winnings exclude stake. Bets must be paid for and placed in the usual way. If your free bet loses, your stake will be refunded to your account within one hour of the race finishing. In the event of Channel 4 not showing all races live, free bets will still stand on the scheduled live Channel 4 races. If you are entitled to a free bet, and Channel 4 broadcast an additional non-scheduled race as the next live race, the following will apply: Your free bet will be the first bet you place on any additional live race which takes place before the next scheduled race, or next scheduled live Channel 4 race. If all originally scheduled Channel 4 races are not shown (eg due to abandonment), and Channel 4 substitute an alternative programme of races, then any qualifying free bets must be placed on the next live Channel 4 race. Please note bet365's Availability of Offers, details of which can be found in the General Rules section of our website. To Summarise 1) To qualify a bet of upto 50 pounds must be placed at 4/1 (5 decimal) or greater. Only the first bet on each race qualifies for the offer. 2) It must still be at 4/1 or greater when the race starts after any Rule 4 deduction. 3) It doesn't matter if to took early price or show price. The above rules stand. 4) If your horse wins you are entitled to a 50 pound SNR on the next race. This is done by crediting your account with 50 pounds if your selection loses. If your selection wins you get another free bet, if you keep picking winners they keep giving you free bets. 5) This can be placed at any odds. but must be placed at 4/1 or greater to qualify for another free bet if your horse wins. Your free bet will be on either the next C4 offer or next Feature race the offers do NOT mix. 6) free bets must be used in their entirety. They cannot be split.

Introduction to Making Money Matched Betting

Many bookmakers offer free bets to encourage people onto their sites during particular sporting events or to attract new customers. What people often do with free bets is to try to bet on a 'dead cert' (for example Chelsea to win the Premiership, Celtic to win the SPL), or to take a flyer at high odds. You can get lucky this way, but bookmakers are canny, and even favourites don’t always win. And because people who win when they do this tend to post onto Internet chat boards gleefully, and those that lose don't, it’s often possible to think it is easier to win big than it actually is. In fact, you can lose both qualifying and free bet very easily. However it is possible to use these free bets to make very easy free money, using a technique known as back/lay bet matching. As a general rule, you can get 95-100% of the free bet amount as real cash for bets where the stake is returned, and about 75% where the stake is not returned. This way, you win every time! It does take a little bit of getting your head around at first, but is well worthwhile as literally hundreds of pounds of real hard cash are available very easily. It is really not all that difficult, and there are full instructions below. Bet/Lay matching transforms any bet into a simple two way choice and greatly simplifies the process. First the standard disclaimer. As always, do your own research, and if things go wrong it is your responsibility, not mine or this site's! So let's start with a word of explanation on how this all works. When you make a bet with a bookmaker, you place a stake on an event at particular odds. For example if you were to put £10 on a bet on Team A winning a football match at 2/1 (decimal odds 3.0), if you were to win the bet you would receive a total of £30 back, i.e. your stake of £10 plus the bookie’s £20. However if you lost, the bookie would gain your £10 and you would receive back nothing. Now imagine you as the bookmaker. In this case you could also offer the same odds to someone for the same outcome (team A to win the match), gaining £10 if the punter loses, but risking £20 of your own money. This is known as 'laying' a bet. So if you were both to bet on the event and act as a bookmaker at the same time, something interesting happens: whatever the outcome, the bet side and the lay side of the bet cancel out completely: Outcome 1 (bet won - Team A wins): You win £30, i.e. your stake of £10 plus £20 profit. Bookmaker loses £20 If you are both the punter and the bookmaker, your total profit is: (£30-£10) - £20 = £0 Outcome 2 (bet lost - Team A does not win (draws or loses)) You lose £10, i.e. your stake. Bookmaker gains £10, If you are both the punter and the bookmaker, your total profit is: £10 - £10 = £0 So you can see that in both cases, both the lay and the bet cancel each other out. You neither lose nor gain money. Obviously this is useless for normal betting, but it is extraordinarily useful when going after bookmaker’s bonuses, as it allows you to place a completely risk free qualifying bet on any event you can both bet on and lay a bet on. And then if you repeat the same thing with a free bet stake, you will always magically come out with a profit that is roughly equal to the free bet stake – you can prove this to yourself by working out the profit and loss on both sides of a free bet. Taking the same odds as an example and assuming a £10 free bet. Outcome 1 (Team A wins): You bet the free bet of £10 at 3.0. Return is £30 with no outlay to you. On the lay side, your loss is £20, as before. Thus overall profit = £30 - £20 = £10. Outcome 2 (bet lost - Team A loses or draws) Your loss on the bet side is zero (as the bet was free). You gain the punter's stake of £10 on the lay side. So regardless of the outcome, you have made £10. Now in practice this is rarely quite as neat as the example. To lay bets, you use betting exchanges, and these generally never offer lay odds which are the same as those at bookies. Also there is a commission of between 1% to 5% payable on winnings at the bet exchange. Even so, it’s easy to use the technique to qualify for a free bet with a very small loss, and then to match out most of the free stake money without any risk at all. The other slight complication is that sometimes free bet offers do not return the stake with winnings. This alters the calculations a little, but you can still make guaranteed money by looking for events with relatively high odds (above 7.0) and a close match for a lay. You should be able to clear about 75% of the free bet amount.